a Original cataloging agency NEU GrandLibrary

a Language code of text/sound track or separate title eng

a Classification number HD75

b Item number .F67 2013

a Personal name Türsoy, Turgut,

h Medium Electronic Document

a Title Forecastıng Economıc Growth Rate :

c Statement of responsibility, etc Turgut Türsoy.

b Remainder of title The Case of North Cyprus /

c Date of publication, distribution, etc 2013.

a Summary, etc While GDP is a key indicator of economic activity, it is unfortunately published quite late in North Cyprus. In order to make more accurate forecasting, an auto-aggressive moving average (ARMA) model was used in this study to forecast the real growth rates of the economy. The growth forecasting models that was developed is based on the Box-Jenkins approach which identifies the models, and was used to apply it to ex-ante forecasting. The results indicate that the forecasts relating to the ex-post period real growth rates, that the developed models gave, were reasonably accurate. Based on this result an attempt is made to forecast the ex-ante period real growth rates of North Cyprus

a Topical term or geographic name as entry element Near East University Article

a Topical term or geographic name as entry element Yakın Doğu Üniversitesi Makale

a Topical term or geographic name as entry element Forecasting

a Topical term or geographic name as entry element Economic Growth

a Topical term or geographic name as entry element ARMA Models

a Topical term or geographic name as entry element Model Selection

t Title Journal of Social Sciences

g Relationship information April 2013, Volume VI, Number 1